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Qual 272018 Central Illinois Regional
Red393
2826159.9
4156106.7
4655155.6
Blue193
464590.5
2704122.5
1756178.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287315150200250350400450500393193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#6
159.92.9
137.7→140.7
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
blue by 18.7
1756
#1
178.78.1
147.1→155.3
Auto24.6
Teleop122.8
End32.3
Second
4655
#14
155.61.2
134.2→135.4
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
red by 33.1
2704
#33
122.54.7
107.0→111.7
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8
Third
4156
#34
106.70.4
100.0→99.6
Auto14.8
Teleop76.4
End17.6
red by 16.2
4645
#35
90.50.2
104.4→104.6
Auto11.8
Teleop73.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed