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Red211
5822129.4
4764103.2
4096140.4
Blue346
4212126.1
2081156.1
6874126.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2753150100200400500600211346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#25
140.43.8
121.3125.2
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
blue by 15.7
156.10.4
148.5149.0
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Second
5822
#10
129.41.0
117.2118.2
Auto19.7
Teleop99.6
End10.6
red by 2.9
6874
#26
126.53.6
108.1111.7
Auto15.0
Teleop99.4
End13.0
Third
4764
#32
103.22.9
104.7107.6
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
blue by 22.9
4212
#21
126.13.0
118.2121.2
Auto19.4
Teleop89.9
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed