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Qual 322018 Central Illinois Regional
Red228
4212126.1
3695161.3
1329130.2
Blue340
4156106.7
4787120.7
2481198.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268352100200300400500600228340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#2
161.34.9
131.1→136.0
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
blue by 37.4
2481
#3
198.72.3
183.0→185.3
Auto23.9
Teleop153.9
End20.4
Second
1329
#28
130.21.4
123.8→125.3
Auto17.6
Teleop98.2
End15.8
red by 9.4
4787
#22
120.72.8
111.1→113.9
Auto15.1
Teleop92.3
End14.4
Third
4212
#21
126.13.3
121.2→124.6
Auto19.4
Teleop89.9
End18.1
red by 19.3
4156
#34
106.71.7
99.6→101.2
Auto14.8
Teleop76.4
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed