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Red398
2338164.9
4655155.6
4096140.4
Blue178
4143158.1
4213148.4
4764103.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329323150200250300350400450500398178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.96.2
144.7150.9
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
red by 6.8
158.10.8
153.9154.7
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
Second
4655
#14
155.62.9
135.4138.3
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
red by 7.1
4213
#12
148.44.1
139.2143.3
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End23.4
Third
4096
#25
140.42.1
125.2127.2
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
red by 37.2
4764
#32
103.21.4
107.6108.9
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed