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Red156
464590.5
8186.3
2220150.6
Blue325
2358131.0
1756178.7
4314122.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258340100200300400500156325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.61.4
145.3146.7
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
blue by 28.0
178.74.0
155.3159.2
Auto24.6
Teleop122.8
End32.3
Second
4645
#35
90.51.1
104.6103.5
Auto11.8
Teleop73.5
End5.2
blue by 40.5
2358
#27
131.04.5
114.3118.8
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
Third
81
#36
86.31.1
103.6104.8
Auto11.5
Teleop70.9
End3.7
blue by 36.5
4314
#20
122.82.8
103.6106.5
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed