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Red268
2169138.6
2081156.1
6651113.3
Blue176
3352115.6
2704122.5
4296123.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372240100200300400500268176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.10.9
149.0149.8
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
red by 33.1
4296
#31
123.02.2
114.0116.2
Auto17.1
Teleop90.9
End17.8
Second
2169
#15
138.62.4
140.9143.3
Auto17.4
Teleop108.2
End14.5
red by 16.1
2704
#33
122.51.8
111.7113.5
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8
Third
6651
#24
113.31.0
122.5123.6
Auto15.4
Teleop90.4
End6.9
blue by 2.3
3352
#37
115.61.7
119.9121.6
Auto15.1
Teleop88.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed