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Qual 42018 Central Illinois Regional
Red378
4655155.6
4212126.1
1756178.7
Blue150
5847131.7
2081156.1
2358131.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301298150200250350400450378150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#1
178.713.0
102.4→115.4
Auto24.6
Teleop122.8
End32.3
red by 22.6
2081
#7
156.10.0
151.1→151.0
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Second
4655
#14
155.613.6
96.7→110.3
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
red by 23.8
5847
#11
131.714.4
89.6→103.9
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
Third
4212
#21
126.115.8
76.6→92.3
Auto19.4
Teleop89.9
End18.1
blue by 4.9
2358
#27
131.016.0
74.2→90.3
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed