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Qual 52018 Central Illinois Regional
Red277
1736167.1
3695161.3
4764103.2
Blue329
2220150.6
4213148.4
2826159.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463440100200300400500600277329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#13
167.113.8
94.6→108.4
Auto25.3
Teleop120.6
End22.4
red by 7.2
2826
#6
159.913.1
101.7→114.8
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
Second
3695
#2
161.315.0
83.3→98.3
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
red by 10.7
2220
#8
150.63.4
130.7→134.0
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
Third
4764
#32
103.217.9
95.6→77.7
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
blue by 45.3
4213
#12
148.413.7
95.2→109.0
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End23.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed