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Red84
4787120.7
4764103.2
2040139.1
Blue437
1756178.7
5442156.6
2826159.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226440010030040050060070084437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#18
139.10.4
143.0142.5
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End18.6
blue by 39.5
178.72.4
166.7169.1
Auto24.6
Teleop122.8
End32.3
Second
4787
#22
120.74.1
118.0122.1
Auto15.1
Teleop92.3
End14.4
blue by 39.2
159.90.4
155.6156.0
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
Third
4764
#32
103.21.3
106.3107.7
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
blue by 53.4
156.62.6
150.5153.1
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End24.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned