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Red266
4655155.6
2704122.5
2358131.0
Blue371
5822129.4
4143158.1
4241124.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318303200250350400450266371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#14
155.65.0
146.2151.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
blue by 2.5
158.10.4
155.2155.6
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
Second
2358
#27
131.00.0
131.4131.4
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
red by 1.6
5822
#10
129.41.0
120.8121.8
Auto19.7
Teleop99.6
End10.6
Third
2704
#33
122.52.4
115.3117.8
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8
blue by 2.4
4241
#30
124.91.6
126.9125.3
Auto14.7
Teleop98.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed