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Qual 582018 Central Illinois Regional
Red420
4314122.8
2338164.9
3695161.3
Blue221
4096140.4
5442156.6
4156106.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370302200400500600420221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#9
164.90.9
162.5→163.4
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
red by 8.3
5442
#5
156.62.5
153.1→155.6
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End24.6
Second
3695
#2
161.34.4
146.4→150.8
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
red by 20.9
4096
#25
140.42.2
136.7→139.0
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
Third
4314
#20
122.82.2
114.6→116.8
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
red by 16.0
4156
#34
106.71.3
104.6→105.9
Auto14.8
Teleop76.4
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsEarned