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Red431
5847131.7
2826159.9
4296123.0
Blue183
2704122.5
6874126.5
4787120.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361273100200300400500431183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.91.1
156.0157.1
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
red by 33.4
6874
#26
126.51.2
125.8127.0
Auto15.0
Teleop99.4
End13.0
Second
5847
#11
131.71.3
129.6130.9
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
red by 9.3
2704
#33
122.51.3
117.8119.0
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8
Third
4296
#31
123.00.8
119.6120.3
Auto17.1
Teleop90.9
End17.8
red by 2.3
4787
#22
120.70.2
122.1122.3
Auto15.1
Teleop92.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed