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Red341
1329130.2
4330126.1
2081156.1
Blue384
2040139.1
1756178.7
4256128.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303356100200400500600341384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.11.0
151.7152.6
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
blue by 22.6
178.72.5
169.1171.6
Auto24.6
Teleop122.8
End32.3
Second
1329
#28
130.20.4
128.6128.9
Auto17.6
Teleop98.2
End15.8
blue by 9.0
2040
#18
139.12.8
142.5139.7
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End18.6
Third
4330
#19
126.10.4
124.4124.9
Auto17.8
Teleop89.2
End20.8
blue by 2.1
4256
#23
128.31.5
122.7124.2
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed