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Qual 612018 Central Illinois Regional
Red399
5822129.4
2481198.7
8186.3
Blue139
2169138.6
4655155.6
4764103.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305269100200400500399139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#3
198.72.0
190.4→192.4
Auto23.9
Teleop153.9
End20.4
red by 43.1
4655
#14
155.62.9
151.2→154.1
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
Second
5822
#10
129.41.9
121.8→123.7
Auto19.7
Teleop99.6
End10.6
blue by 9.1
2169
#15
138.60.4
138.7→139.0
Auto17.4
Teleop108.2
End14.5
Third
81
#36
86.34.7
94.6→89.8
Auto11.5
Teleop70.9
End3.7
blue by 16.9
4764
#32
103.21.6
107.7→106.1
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed