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Qual 622018 Central Illinois Regional
Red387
4356128.2
6237130.3
2826159.9
Blue172
648138.0
2220150.6
4212126.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310342100200400500600387172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#6
159.91.3
157.1→158.4
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
red by 9.3
2220
#8
150.61.3
148.7→150.1
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
Second
6237
#29
130.30.8
127.2→127.9
Auto14.8
Teleop104.4
End12.9
blue by 7.7
648
#16
138.00.0
141.2→141.2
Auto16.4
Teleop107.8
End13.9
Third
4356
#17
128.20.3
125.2→125.5
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
red by 2.1
4212
#21
126.11.9
124.3→126.3
Auto19.4
Teleop89.9
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed