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Qual 642018 Central Illinois Regional
Red390
2358131.0
2040139.1
4143158.1
Blue181
6874126.5
1329130.2
4156106.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381250100200300500600390181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#4
158.11.1
155.6→156.7
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
red by 27.9
1329
#28
130.20.6
128.9→129.5
Auto17.6
Teleop98.2
End15.8
Second
2040
#18
139.11.0
139.7→138.7
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End18.6
red by 12.6
6874
#26
126.50.1
127.0→126.8
Auto15.0
Teleop99.4
End13.0
Third
2358
#27
131.00.3
131.4→131.1
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
red by 24.3
4156
#34
106.70.6
105.9→106.4
Auto14.8
Teleop76.4
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed