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Red367
2220150.6
5822129.4
2169138.6
Blue285
4296123.0
1736167.1
4330126.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349308100200400500367285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.60.1
150.1150.0
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
blue by 16.5
1736
#13
167.13.0
158.2161.2
Auto25.3
Teleop120.6
End22.4
Second
2169
#15
138.61.1
139.0138.0
Auto17.4
Teleop108.2
End14.5
red by 12.4
4330
#19
126.10.6
124.9125.5
Auto17.8
Teleop89.2
End20.8
Third
5822
#10
129.42.6
123.7126.3
Auto19.7
Teleop99.6
End10.6
red by 6.4
4296
#31
123.01.0
120.3121.3
Auto17.1
Teleop90.9
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed