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Red284
2194172.8
1736187.5
2704130.0
Blue254
5847135.2
4096150.2
1646127.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832860100200500600284254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.50.1
187.5187.6
Auto23.7
Teleop139.1
End24.3
red by 37.3
4096
#25
150.20.1
150.3150.2
Auto19.9
Teleop115.2
End12.0
Second
2194
#14
172.80.6
174.7174.1
Auto23.2
Teleop126.2
End20.5
red by 37.6
5847
#31
135.20.3
135.6135.2
Auto19.7
Teleop109.0
End5.4
Third
2704
#28
130.00.5
130.5130.0
Auto13.9
Teleop97.2
End15.6
red by 2.9
1646
#21
127.10.1
127.0127.1
Auto19.1
Teleop90.7
End17.9