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Red257
2194172.8
1736187.5
6237141.6
Blue392
2451182.3
4655172.7
8186.1
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3433170100200400500600257392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.50.0
187.6187.5
Auto23.7
Teleop139.1
End24.3
red by 5.2
182.30.2
181.5181.8
Auto19.9
Teleop139.0
End23.8
Second
2194
#14
172.80.6
173.4172.8
Auto23.2
Teleop126.2
End20.5
red by 0.1
172.70.3
171.8172.1
Auto20.9
Teleop132.3
End19.3
Third
6237
#22
141.60.6
142.2141.6
Auto15.7
Teleop104.1
End18.8
red by 55.5
81
#29
86.10.0
86.086.0
Auto11.4
Teleop68.2
End7.1