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Red453
2451182.3
4655172.7
8186.1
Blue217
5442149.8
269173.2
4213171.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943650100200400500600453217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.30.1
181.4181.3
Auto19.9
Teleop139.0
End23.8
red by 9.1
269
#12
173.20.4
173.6173.2
Auto20.1
Teleop130.8
End21.9
Second
172.70.0
171.4171.4
Auto20.9
Teleop132.3
End19.3
red by 1.1
4213
#24
171.60.4
172.4172.0
Auto22.2
Teleop125.6
End20.3
Third
81
#29
86.10.3
86.486.2
Auto11.4
Teleop68.2
End7.1
blue by 63.7
149.80.3
149.4149.7
Auto20.6
Teleop106.6
End22.6