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Red284
4272175.3
930158.7
461148.6
Blue390
5934129.7
111156.3
1792159.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3712990100200500600700284390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.30.2
175.0175.1
Auto22.0
Teleop128.8
End24.6
red by 15.5
1792
#15
159.80.0
159.5159.5
Auto23.1
Teleop120.7
End15.4
Second
930
#19
158.70.3
159.3159.0
Auto19.7
Teleop120.5
End16.4
red by 2.3
111
#17
156.30.2
155.2155.4
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1
Third
461
#5
148.60.3
148.1148.4
Auto18.7
Teleop112.2
End17.1
red by 18.9
129.70.3
128.4128.7
Auto17.9
Teleop98.9
End12.6