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Red382
2451182.3
4655172.7
967129.1
Blue121
17199.7
5442149.8
4213171.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972520100200300500600700382121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.30.1
181.3181.4
Auto19.9
Teleop139.0
End23.8
red by 10.7
4213
#24
171.60.4
172.0171.6
Auto22.2
Teleop125.6
End20.3
Second
172.70.2
171.4171.6
Auto20.9
Teleop132.3
End19.3
red by 22.9
149.80.1
149.7149.8
Auto20.6
Teleop106.6
End22.6
Third
967
#33
129.10.2
129.3129.1
Auto16.6
Teleop97.8
End12.2
red by 29.4
171
#18
99.70.0
99.799.7
Auto15.4
Teleop73.7
End9.3