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Red240
4272175.3
930158.7
461148.6
Blue216
1625168.9
6419116.6
5041113.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072360100200300500600700240216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.30.2
174.6174.8
Auto22.0
Teleop128.8
End24.6
red by 6.4
1625
#16
168.90.7
170.8170.1
Auto24.5
Teleop118.5
End18.7
Second
930
#19
158.70.4
160.2159.8
Auto19.7
Teleop120.5
End16.4
red by 42.1
6419
#10
116.60.2
116.0116.3
Auto15.9
Teleop91.0
End9.3
Third
461
#5
148.60.3
147.4147.7
Auto18.7
Teleop112.2
End17.1
red by 34.7
5041
#13
113.90.3
113.6113.9
Auto16.8
Teleop85.0
End12.8