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Red274
4272175.3
335299.3
461148.6
Blue294
1625168.9
6419116.6
2081143.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317309200250350400274294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.30.1
174.8174.9
Auto22.0
Teleop128.8
End24.6
red by 6.4
1625
#16
168.90.7
170.1169.5
Auto24.5
Teleop118.5
End18.7
Second
461
#5
148.60.2
147.7147.9
Auto18.7
Teleop112.2
End17.1
red by 5.1
2081
#23
143.50.0
143.6143.5
Auto17.8
Teleop109.9
End18.6
Third
3352
#26
99.30.5
99.799.3
Auto16.0
Teleop76.5
End4.1
blue by 17.3
6419
#10
116.60.2
116.3116.4
Auto15.9
Teleop91.0
End9.3