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Quarterfinal 3-32018 Rock River Offseason Competition
Red438
4272175.3
930158.7
461148.6
Blue157
1625168.9
6419116.6
2081143.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882650100200300500600700438157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#2
175.30.1
174.9→175.0
Auto22.0
Teleop128.8
End24.6
red by 6.4
1625
#16
168.90.6
169.5→168.9
Auto24.5
Teleop118.5
End18.7
Second
930
#19
158.70.5
159.8→159.3
Auto19.7
Teleop120.5
End16.4
red by 15.2
2081
#23
143.50.0
143.5→143.5
Auto17.8
Teleop109.9
End18.6
Third
461
#5
148.60.2
147.9→148.1
Auto18.7
Teleop112.2
End17.1
red by 32.0
6419
#10
116.60.2
116.4→116.6
Auto15.9
Teleop91.0
End9.3