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Red407
4296146.3
1732153.1
4241123.6
Blue299
1792159.8
5934129.7
111156.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29035502004006008001,000407299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.10.0
152.8152.8
Auto23.4
Teleop117.7
End9.3
blue by 6.6
1792
#15
159.80.1
159.8159.7
Auto23.1
Teleop120.7
End15.4
Second
146.30.1
145.8145.9
Auto18.1
Teleop108.1
End19.4
blue by 10.1
111
#17
156.30.2
154.6154.8
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1
Third
4241
#20
123.60.1
123.7123.6
Auto14.9
Teleop97.4
End10.8
blue by 6.1
129.70.2
128.0128.2
Auto17.9
Teleop98.9
End12.6