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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Rock River Offseason Competition
Red322
4296146.3
1732153.1
2202164.1
Blue335
1792159.8
111156.3
167158.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31235001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500322335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#30
164.10.9
165.7→164.9
Auto19.5
Teleop115.6
End26.0
red by 4.3
1792
#15
159.80.1
159.7→159.6
Auto23.1
Teleop120.7
End15.4
Second
1732
#6
153.10.2
152.8→153.0
Auto23.4
Teleop117.7
End9.3
blue by 5.1
167
#27
158.21.2
159.5→158.2
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End6.1
Third
4296
#3
146.30.2
145.9→146.0
Auto18.1
Teleop108.1
End19.4
blue by 10.1
111
#17
156.30.2
154.8→155.0
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1