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Red245
4296146.3
1732153.1
2202164.1
Blue383
5934129.7
111156.3
1792159.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337337200250300350400450245383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#30
164.10.8
164.9164.1
Auto19.5
Teleop115.6
End26.0
red by 4.3
1792
#15
159.80.1
159.6159.5
Auto23.1
Teleop120.7
End15.4
Second
153.10.2
153.0153.1
Auto23.4
Teleop117.7
End9.3
blue by 3.2
111
#17
156.30.2
155.0155.2
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1
Third
146.30.2
146.0146.3
Auto18.1
Teleop108.1
End19.4
red by 16.5
129.70.2
128.2128.4
Auto17.9
Teleop98.9
End12.6