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Red297
2704130.0
1625168.9
2202164.1
Blue379
6419116.6
5442149.8
461148.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4172870100200500600700297379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#16
168.90.6
174.5175.1
Auto24.5
Teleop118.5
End18.7
red by 19.1
149.81.3
153.7152.3
Auto20.6
Teleop106.6
End22.6
Second
2202
#30
164.11.1
170.6171.7
Auto19.5
Teleop115.6
End26.0
red by 15.5
461
#5
148.60.3
145.6145.8
Auto18.7
Teleop112.2
End17.1
Third
2704
#28
130.01.0
131.7132.7
Auto13.9
Teleop97.2
End15.6
red by 13.4
6419
#10
116.60.0
113.0113.1
Auto15.9
Teleop91.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed