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Red299
4096150.2
5934129.7
1646127.1
Blue316
4296146.3
4272175.3
167158.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2684210200600800299316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#25
150.21.1
150.4151.5
Auto19.9
Teleop115.2
End12.0
blue by 25.1
175.31.6
171.4173.0
Auto22.0
Teleop128.8
End24.6
Second
129.71.0
126.0127.0
Auto17.9
Teleop98.9
End12.6
blue by 28.5
167
#27
158.20.6
170.3169.6
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End6.1
Third
1646
#21
127.10.7
125.1125.8
Auto19.1
Teleop90.7
End17.9
blue by 19.1
146.31.6
139.9141.5
Auto18.1
Teleop108.1
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed