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Red341
4655172.7
930158.7
2194172.8
Blue226
4292102.6
5041113.9
2451182.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262370100200300500600700800341226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#14
172.80.3
180.6180.2
Auto23.2
Teleop126.2
End20.5
blue by 9.5
182.30.3
186.1185.8
Auto19.9
Teleop139.0
End23.8
Second
172.70.6
173.0173.5
Auto20.9
Teleop132.3
End19.3
red by 58.8
5041
#13
113.90.6
111.9112.5
Auto16.8
Teleop85.0
End12.8
Third
930
#19
158.71.5
160.2161.7
Auto19.7
Teleop120.5
End16.4
red by 56.0
4292
#11
102.60.4
103.8104.2
Auto19.6
Teleop76.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed