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Red315
1625168.9
4241123.6
5934129.7
Blue197
111156.3
2039100.4
4096150.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322296100200400500315197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#16
168.91.6
174.5172.9
Auto24.5
Teleop118.5
End18.7
red by 12.5
111
#17
156.30.9
156.9156.0
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1
Second
129.70.3
128.2128.0
Auto17.9
Teleop98.9
End12.6
blue by 20.5
4096
#25
150.20.7
153.4152.7
Auto19.9
Teleop115.2
End12.0
Third
4241
#20
123.61.3
126.9125.6
Auto14.9
Teleop97.4
End10.8
red by 23.2
2039
#32
100.42.6
107.3104.7
Auto15.8
Teleop77.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed