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Red133
1646127.1
167158.2
335299.3
Blue436
461148.6
5041113.9
269173.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663630100200300400500600700800133436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#27
158.22.2
167.5165.3
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End6.1
blue by 15.0
269
#12
173.20.5
173.9173.4
Auto20.1
Teleop130.8
End21.9
Second
1646
#21
127.10.9
127.2128.1
Auto19.1
Teleop90.7
End17.9
blue by 21.5
461
#5
148.60.3
146.5146.9
Auto18.7
Teleop112.2
End17.1
Third
3352
#26
99.30.1
102.0101.9
Auto16.0
Teleop76.5
End4.1
blue by 14.7
5041
#13
113.90.0
113.3113.3
Auto16.8
Teleop85.0
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed