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Red246
1736187.5
8186.1
930158.7
Blue400
1646127.1
461148.6
967129.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682550100200300400500600700246400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.51.0
186.5187.5
Auto23.7
Teleop139.1
End24.3
red by 38.9
461
#5
148.60.2
147.7147.4
Auto18.7
Teleop112.2
End17.1
Second
930
#19
158.70.6
160.8160.2
Auto19.7
Teleop120.5
End16.4
red by 29.5
967
#33
129.11.9
131.2129.3
Auto16.6
Teleop97.8
End12.2
Third
81
#29
86.10.3
86.786.4
Auto11.4
Teleop68.2
End7.1
blue by 41.0
1646
#21
127.10.8
127.8127.0
Auto19.1
Teleop90.7
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed