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Red446
5934129.7
111156.3
1732153.1
Blue202
5847135.2
2202164.1
6419116.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342990100200400500446202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#17
156.30.0
154.6154.6
Auto18.8
Teleop121.4
End16.1
blue by 7.8
2202
#30
164.12.6
168.4165.7
Auto19.5
Teleop115.6
End26.0
Second
153.10.6
153.4152.8
Auto23.4
Teleop117.7
End9.3
red by 17.9
5847
#31
135.20.6
136.4135.9
Auto19.7
Teleop109.0
End5.4
Third
129.70.2
127.8128.0
Auto17.9
Teleop98.9
End12.6
red by 13.1
6419
#10
116.61.3
114.7116.0
Auto15.9
Teleop91.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed