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Qual 312018 Rock River Offseason Competition
Red302
17199.7
2081143.5
4272175.3
Blue201
1625168.9
2194172.8
167158.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653930100200300500600700302201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#2
175.30.2
174.8→174.6
Auto22.0
Teleop128.8
End24.6
red by 2.5
2194
#14
172.81.0
176.5→175.4
Auto23.2
Teleop126.2
End20.5
Second
2081
#23
143.51.1
144.6→143.6
Auto17.8
Teleop109.9
End18.6
blue by 25.4
1625
#16
168.90.8
171.6→170.8
Auto24.5
Teleop118.5
End18.7
Third
171
#18
99.70.8
100.5→99.7
Auto15.4
Teleop73.7
End9.3
blue by 58.5
167
#27
158.22.9
162.4→159.5
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed