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Red407
6956108.8
461145.8
292137.1
Blue214
9986110.6
4284116.6
3940149.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833150100200400500600407214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#11
145.80.6
145.3144.8
Auto17.0
Teleop111.2
End18.8
blue by 3.6
3940
#22
149.31.1
152.1151.0
Auto16.0
Teleop119.9
End16.3
Second
292
#20
137.11.1
140.1139.0
Auto20.0
Teleop100.7
End16.0
red by 20.5
4284
#18
116.60.1
118.0118.0
Auto15.6
Teleop88.9
End9.2
Third
6956
#26
108.81.3
112.2110.9
Auto16.5
Teleop81.0
End10.1
blue by 1.9
9986
#14
110.60.4
110.0110.4
Auto15.6
Teleop87.9
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed