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Qual 212018 Boiler Bot Battle
Red322
9985113.3
5484139.9
6451141.8
Blue347
9999126.0
234202.9
9989106.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264373100200300500600700322347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6451
#12
141.81.2
137.8→139.1
Auto20.6
Teleop107.9
End15.3
blue by 61.1
234
#4
202.90.3
200.6→200.9
Auto28.4
Teleop140.7
End33.7
Second
5484
#19
139.90.2
140.7→140.5
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End20.3
red by 13.9
9999
#5
126.01.2
124.3→125.4
Auto17.2
Teleop98.8
End5.2
Third
9985
#13
113.32.8
109.1→111.9
Auto15.7
Teleop84.6
End14.0
red by 6.5
9989
#25
106.80.1
106.5→106.6
Auto13.0
Teleop80.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed