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Red376
868193.0
3814135.0
4096147.5
Blue150
3865112.0
135163.1
3487149.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3722990100200500600700800376150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
193.00.0
191.8191.7
Auto22.4
Teleop147.1
End20.7
red by 29.9
135
#17
163.10.0
165.6165.6
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End22.0
Second
4096
#10
147.51.2
150.7149.5
Auto20.2
Teleop116.8
End8.4
blue by 2.3
149.81.1
148.3149.4
Auto18.6
Teleop111.2
End20.9
Third
135.00.0
134.7134.7
Auto19.6
Teleop100.5
End16.7
red by 22.9
3865
#23
112.01.0
116.2115.1
Auto14.3
Teleop84.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed