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Red391
4926120.8
1747204.2
1781128.7
Blue132
6956108.8
6647155.2
1646122.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992160100300500600700391132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.22.1
195.7197.8
Auto24.8
Teleop152.1
End26.9
red by 49.1
6647
#24
155.21.5
158.8157.3
Auto17.9
Teleop121.4
End14.3
Second
1781
#16
128.70.8
127.3128.1
Auto16.1
Teleop97.7
End13.5
red by 6.7
1646
#27
122.00.6
124.5123.8
Auto18.8
Teleop87.8
End11.2
Third
120.81.8
124.8123.0
Auto18.3
Teleop89.3
End12.3
red by 12.1
6956
#26
108.80.5
110.9110.4
Auto16.5
Teleop81.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed