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Red164
4284116.6
9988135.6
1646122.0
Blue412
6451141.8
5069116.4
3487149.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286339100200400500600164412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9988
#29
135.61.5
137.1135.6
Auto17.4
Teleop102.1
End11.9
blue by 14.2
149.80.4
149.4149.0
Auto18.6
Teleop111.2
End20.9
Second
1646
#27
122.00.8
123.8123.0
Auto18.8
Teleop87.8
End11.2
blue by 19.8
6451
#12
141.81.5
139.1140.6
Auto20.6
Teleop107.9
End15.3
Third
4284
#18
116.60.2
118.0117.8
Auto15.6
Teleop88.9
End9.2
red by 0.2
5069
#28
116.40.8
116.9116.0
Auto16.9
Teleop82.9
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed