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Red217
3865112.0
5822141.5
9989106.8
Blue297
3940149.3
4926120.8
3814135.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413460100200300400500600217297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#21
141.50.7
143.1142.4
Auto18.5
Teleop106.4
End15.2
blue by 7.8
3940
#22
149.31.2
151.0149.9
Auto16.0
Teleop119.9
End16.3
Second
3865
#23
112.01.9
115.1113.2
Auto14.3
Teleop84.3
End11.1
blue by 22.9
135.00.2
134.7134.9
Auto19.6
Teleop100.5
End16.7
Third
9989
#25
106.80.1
106.6106.8
Auto13.0
Teleop80.9
End10.8
blue by 14.0
120.81.2
123.0121.8
Auto18.3
Teleop89.3
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed