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Red306
9988135.6
234202.9
5822141.5
Blue360
292137.1
868193.0
4485149.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3813320100200500600700800306360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#4
202.90.1
201.9201.8
Auto28.4
Teleop140.7
End33.7
red by 9.9
868
#2
193.02.1
196.5194.3
Auto22.4
Teleop147.1
End20.7
Second
5822
#21
141.51.0
142.1143.1
Auto18.5
Teleop106.4
End15.2
blue by 7.6
149.10.3
149.5149.3
Auto19.5
Teleop114.4
End15.5
Third
9988
#29
135.60.5
137.8138.3
Auto17.4
Teleop102.1
End11.9
blue by 1.5
292
#20
137.10.8
139.4140.2
Auto20.0
Teleop100.7
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed