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Red136
3814135.0
5069116.4
4284116.6
Blue437
1747204.2
9985113.3
9999126.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133670100300400500600136437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.01.3
137.8136.5
Auto19.6
Teleop100.5
End16.7
blue by 69.3
204.20.3
192.4192.7
Auto24.8
Teleop152.1
End26.9
Second
4284
#18
116.60.4
119.8119.5
Auto15.6
Teleop88.9
End9.2
blue by 9.5
126.01.0
120.6121.6
Auto17.2
Teleop98.8
End5.2
Third
5069
#28
116.40.5
120.5120.0
Auto16.9
Teleop82.9
End16.1
red by 3.1
9985
#13
113.30.4
106.8106.5
Auto15.7
Teleop84.6
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed