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Red408
3487149.8
2338177.7
4096147.5
Blue227
1781128.7
3940149.3
292137.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3613060100200400500600408227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.70.0
171.0171.0
Auto24.7
Teleop126.3
End24.7
red by 28.4
3940
#22
149.31.6
157.4155.7
Auto16.0
Teleop119.9
End16.3
Second
149.80.7
148.2147.5
Auto18.6
Teleop111.2
End20.9
red by 12.7
292
#20
137.10.7
140.2140.9
Auto20.0
Teleop100.7
End16.0
Third
4096
#10
147.50.4
149.9149.5
Auto20.2
Teleop116.8
End8.4
red by 18.7
1781
#16
128.70.0
127.2127.2
Auto16.1
Teleop97.7
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed