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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Indiana State Championship
Red404
868188.0
1747194.9
3936133.5
Blue219
5403163.4
1018171.5
4103158.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408316100200500600700800404219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#1
194.90.2
194.1→194.3
Auto24.9
Teleop148.8
End20.3
red by 23.4
1018
#10
171.50.2
171.7→171.5
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
Second
868
#9
188.00.1
188.4→188.4
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
red by 24.6
5403
#16
163.40.3
163.7→163.4
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
Third
3936
#17
133.50.2
132.8→132.9
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
blue by 25.2
4103
#14
158.70.1
158.6→158.7
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2