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Semifinal 1-22018 Indiana State Championship
Red504
868188.0
1747194.9
3936133.5
Blue164
829186.2
3176147.7
461145.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4093130100200500600700504164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#1
194.90.2
194.5→194.7
Auto24.9
Teleop148.8
End20.3
red by 8.7
829
#19
186.20.0
186.2→186.2
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
Second
868
#9
188.00.1
188.4→188.3
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
red by 40.3
3176
#5
147.70.1
147.5→147.7
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
Third
3936
#17
133.50.2
133.1→133.3
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
blue by 12.1
461
#32
145.60.2
145.3→145.6
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0