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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Indiana State Championship
Red300
1501167.2
447167.1
4485149.6
Blue419
829186.2
3176147.7
461145.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366360300350400450300419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#22
167.20.1
167.5→167.4
Auto21.5
Teleop122.3
End25.0
blue by 19.0
829
#19
186.20.2
186.5→186.3
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
Second
447
#4
167.10.5
166.2→166.7
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
red by 19.4
3176
#5
147.70.0
147.3→147.3
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
Third
4485
#23
149.60.0
149.7→149.7
Auto20.5
Teleop112.0
End17.7
red by 4.1
461
#32
145.60.1
144.8→144.9
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0