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Qual 12018 Indiana State Championship
Red274
2867136.2
3147130.3
447167.1
Blue466
5188159.1
1747194.9
2171147.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2674020100200500600700274466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#4
167.11.6
149.0→150.6
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
blue by 27.8
1747
#1
194.91.1
171.1→172.2
Auto24.9
Teleop148.8
End20.3
Second
2867
#18
136.20.5
134.5→135.0
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
blue by 22.8
5188
#11
159.10.6
143.4→144.0
Auto19.4
Teleop116.9
End23.8
Third
3147
#27
130.30.5
138.6→139.1
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
blue by 16.9
2171
#13
147.20.6
156.2→155.6
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed