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Red329
234189.0
1024195.6
4103158.7
Blue377
3947124.9
1720149.2
71174.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434300100200500600700800329377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.60.0
192.3192.3
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
red by 21.3
71
#3
174.31.0
170.4169.4
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
Second
234
#6
189.00.7
185.2185.9
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
red by 39.9
1720
#21
149.20.9
152.6153.5
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
Third
4103
#14
158.70.8
157.5158.3
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2
red by 33.8
3947
#31
124.90.3
125.6125.9
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsEarned